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ACCWeek 11

Boston College odds at Notre Dame: Eagles 29.5-point underdogs, ACC title out of reach

Boston College (4-5) is a 29.5-point underdog at No. 5 Notre Dame on Nov. 14, and at 2-4 in ACC play the Eagles are out of the conference title race.

The Atlantic Line staff
Saturday, November 14 · 3 min read
Alumni Stadium
Alumni Stadium. Photo: Richard Bain, Public domain

Boston College has no realistic path to the ACC Championship Game. The Eagles are 4-5 overall and 2-4 in conference play after losses to Virginia Tech, SMU, Duke and Florida State, so there are no ACC title prices to look at for them. The numbers that matter today are for Saturday's trip to No. 5 Notre Dame, where Boston College is a 29.5-point underdog. Our Boston College team page has the full guide to the Eagles. This story covers what changed this week and how the Notre Dame game is priced.

Where the season stands

Boston College lost 31-24 at home to Florida State last weekend. That came a week after a 47-2 loss at Duke, the worst result of the season. Before those two games the Eagles had won two straight league games, beating Pittsburgh 27-21 and winning 49-27 at Georgia Tech. That stretch briefly put them back in the middle of the conference.

The overall record is 4-5. Wins over Rutgers (28-21), Maine (22-16), Pittsburgh and Georgia Tech are balanced against losses at Cincinnati (34-15), against Virginia Tech (21-14), at No. 21 SMU (25-16), at Duke and against Florida State. Six of the nine games were decided by 10 points or fewer, and the Eagles went 3-3 in those.

Notre Dame is not an ACC opponent for football, so Saturday's game does not affect the conference standings. It does count toward bowl eligibility. Boston College needs two more wins to reach six, and a loss in South Bend would leave no margin for error the rest of the way.

How the Notre Dame game is priced

The game kicks off Saturday, November 14, on NBC. Our Boston College at Notre Dame odds page tracks 12 venues and refreshes about every ten minutes. These are the latest numbers.

  • Moneyline: Notre Dame is favored at -3471 on Novig, one of the venues on the board. Boston College is +3348 there. Those prices imply roughly a 97 percent chance of a Notre Dame win and about a 3 percent chance of a Boston College upset. Sportsbook hold on the moneyline runs from 2.4 to 4.2 percent.
  • Spread: Notre Dame is favored by 29.5 at Novig, at -102. Boston College +29.5 is -104. The shortest number on the board is BetRivers at Notre Dame -28 (-122). The market is therefore split between 28 and 29.5 points. Sportsbook hold ranges from 3.4 to 7.0 percent.
  • Total: Novig has the total at 51.5, with the over at -104 and the under at +102. Hard Rock Bet is a point higher at 52.5, with the under at -115.

A total in the low 50s with a four-touchdown spread works out to roughly 41-11. That fits a Boston College offense that scored 24 against Florida State but managed only a safety at Duke.

What to watch

The key question is whether the Eagles can avoid another lopsided road loss like the one at Duke. They kept the margin to one score in their other road losses at SMU and Cincinnati and won at Georgia Tech. The bigger story for the season is the two games after this one, which will decide whether Boston College plays in December.

For readers in Massachusetts and other states with legal sports wagering, sportsbooks are legal only for adults 21 and over who are physically inside a state that permits them. The prices above are shown for information.

Original reporting
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