Stanford returns from its bye healthier on the line, with bowl hopes riding on Virginia Tech
Stanford, 4-5, comes out of its bye with linemen back and needs two wins in three games, starting Saturday night at Virginia Tech.
Stanford spent its second bye week trying to fix its biggest problem: playing well for a full game. The Cardinal are 4-5 with three games left, and they need two more wins to reach bowl eligibility. The run starts Saturday night at Virginia Tech, followed by a trip to Cal and a home finale against No. 25 SMU.
Head coach Tavita Pritchard told Roundtable Sports that the week was split between rest and work on technique. After the 52-24 loss at Louisville, he said the team still has to learn to play "four quarters or more of winning football." The Cardinal also come back healthier up front. Offensive linemen Nick Fattig and Charlie Hoitink returned for limited snaps at Louisville after missing time, and Pritchard said players who earn reps in practice will get them in games, even though he would rather keep the same five linemen together. The outlet reported that Micah Ford and quarterback Davis Warren have put together three straight solid games.
Pritchard's scouting report on Virginia Tech starts with quarterback Ethan Grunkemeyer, a Penn State transfer who is second in the conference in passing yards. He also named receiver Que'Sean Brown and running back Jeffrey Overton Jr. and described an offense that can beat a defense on the ground or through the air.
What it means Saturday in Blacksburg
The Cardinal's season numbers don't favor them. Stanford has been outscored 336-183 and is 0-4 on the road, losing those games at Duke, Wake Forest, Notre Dame and Louisville by an average of 43 points. Its four wins all came at home, and only one of them came against an ACC opponent with a winning record: the 31-28 win over NC State. According to ESPN's game preview, Stanford is 131st nationally in third-down conversions and 129th in red-zone defense, with opponents scoring on 94.4 percent of their trips inside the 20. Warren has thrown for 2,203 yards with 14 touchdowns and three interceptions.
Virginia Tech is 6-3 and already bowl eligible, but its last game was a 51-28 loss at SMU, a week after it won 20-16 at Clemson. The Hokies are 3-1 at Lane Stadium, and they have outscored opponents 308-215. ESPN lists Stanford at 2-4 in the ACC and Virginia Tech at 3-3. Kickoff is 7:30 p.m. Eastern on ACC Network.
Virginia Tech is a clear favorite on this site's board, which tracks 12 venues. On the moneyline, Novig has the Hokies at -614 and Kalshi has the best price on them at -609. Stanford is +545 at Novig, and Hard Rock Bet has the longest price at +550. The spread has come down since ESPN reported an opening line of Virginia Tech by 16.5. Novig now has Stanford at +14.5 (-102), and FanDuel has the most points at +15.5 (-110). The total is 58.5 at Novig and 59 at Pinnacle. Sportsbook holds run from 3.5 to 6.2 percent on the moneyline and up to 7.0 percent on the total, so the venues are fairly close on this game.
If Stanford wins, it would get its fifth win and could still reach a bowl by beating either Cal or SMU. A loss would leave the Cardinal needing to win both of their last two games.